Estimating Rent
© 2009,2010 Eric Fernwood
- all rights reserved.
Knowing what
a property will realistically rent for is critical. Without
this, you don’t know
what the property is worth. So, how do you estimate
rent? Simplistically, you find
recently rented comparable units, calculate the rent/sqft
for each, average the numbers together and multiply the
average times the subject property's sqft.
For example,
suppose you have three comparable condos that were
recently rented in the same complex. Below
is a table showing the key data.

All three comps
are very similar and the rents are as similar for the
sqft as you could hope for. So, if you are looking
at buying a unit in the property and it is a 1080 sqft,
2 bedroom condo, a reasonable estimate would be: 1,080sqft
X $0.85/sqft = $925. It might be $900 or $950, but
it is in that range PROVIDED the unit is in similar
condition to the three units that recently rented and in a similar situation.
Notice that I said "in similar condition", not in excellent
condition. I will talk about rehab and what is appropriate
in a later section.
Ok, the above
was easy, now lets make things a bit more real world.
The aerial photo below is of a small condo complex.
It is sandwiched between an office/light industrial
complex, a busy road, an industrial storage area and
a major highway exit.

Suppose you
had a comp for a unit in building "C", could you apply
it to a unit in building "A"? Not necessarily. This
is where common sense must come into play. Since "A"
will have significantly more traffic noise than "C", it will
likely get a little less rent. However, if the unit
in "A" was in better condition that the unit in "C",
you might ge the same.
The thing to
keep in mind is that even units in the same complex
may get different rents due to situation issues. It
might even be something like one unit overlooks a dumpster
and another does not. Only physically visiting the property will do when you need to accurately estimate the rent.
Where do you
find rent comp information? It is not that easy without
access to some specialized databases which I pay for.
Your best bet would be to see what the asking rent
is for comparable units on rental.com and similar sites.
The challenge is that you don't know how long the unit
has been for rent and what the final rental rate was.
For my clients,
I mine data from the MLS plus two other databases and
correlate the information together using a statistical
technique to eliminate obviously invalid comps. I then
provide an average as well as the raw data so you can
see for your self. Below is an example.

In the above case, my software sifted
through about 150 comps and narrowed the list to the
eight above. The
software estimated the rent for the 1,710 sqft 4 bedroom
property to be $1,250. And, while I believe that this
is a reasonable estimate, it would have to be validated
by a visit to the property.
I
provide my clients rental comps. I am uniquely able
to do this since I developed software that analyzes
comps based on the geolocation of comps to the subject property.
In summary,
the basic technique is to locate similar properties
recently rented and to calculate the average $/sqft
for rent. Then, multiply this average times the sqft
of the subject property. This will give you a reasonable
idea as to what the property will rent for. However,
you must also use common sense to take into account
local anomalies that could
positively or negatively affect the rental rate.
Call me today to discuss your real estate needs. You will be glad you did.
Eric Fernwood
702-358-8884
EricFernwood@Gmail.com
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